Article by John Derbyshire |
||||
|
|
|||
| Caveat
Enron I spent some
of my formative years in the Far East, where, as Kipling pointed out,
“the best is like the worst” — or, at any rate, the best can turn
into the worst with amazing rapidity.
One of my first employers was a gentleman in Taiwan who had made a
modest fortune running a business he described vaguely to me as
“import-export,” which in that part of the world can cover anything
from shipbuilding to opium trafficking.
I found out from other sources that this particular entrepreneur
— I’ll call him Mr. Wu — was perfectly legitimate, and had made his
pile selling cheap toys to South America.
I taught English for a while to his kids at the family home, a
sumptuous apartment in a well-appointed quarter of Taipei. Visiting the
island six years later, I happened to run into this very same gentleman.
He was selling tourist gewgaws from a tiny stand in the street.
I was flabbergasted. What
happened? I asked him. Oh, he explained, he’d lost his business.
There’d been a string of bad luck — a factory fire, some
letters of credit gone bad, exchange rate problems...
Mr. Wu was not the least bit downhearted about it, though.
“Hey, see how I lucked out, getting this concession!
Right near the big hotels!”
He had no doubt, in his own mind, that one day he’d get rich
again. He was probably right
— I don’t know, I lost track of him. There you
have the spirit of entrepreneurial capitalism.
Now, I had better confess right away that Mr. Wu’s lifestyle is
not for me. I’m not one of
nature’s capitalists. I’ve
never come up with a decent idea for separating my fellow creatures from
their money — writing is about the least efficacious way of doing this,
next possibly to shining shoes. (And
it was ever thus: “Mark
what ills the scholar’s life assail:
Toil, envy, want, the garret, and the jail.” — That
was written in 1749.) I
can’t even imagine the stress involved in making a fortune,
losing it, then calmly setting out to make another one.
For most of my life I’ve been what the Japanese call a salariman,
tucked away in a cube in some big company, not being paid very much in
return for not being required to do anything very risky or difficult.
Hey, it takes all sorts to make a world. However —
here’s the main point of the piece — I believe that Mr. Wu’s
experience is the core experience of life in a capitalist society.
Capitalism is nothing more than economic freedom; and freedom, as
anyone that has raised children knows, can never be uncoupled from risk.
Oh, sure, you can shun risk, or you can go out looking for it,
according to your temperament. In matters economic, as I’ve just confessed, I am a natural
risk-shunner, a salariman. I’m
not a fool, though, and I’m not a socialist either. I understand that the risk-reward equation governs everyone’s
life in a free society, to a greater or lesser degree.
As Trotsky remarked about war:
you may not be interested in risk, but it’s interested in you. Now, of
course, there is risk and there is risk.
In a society under the rule of law, there is legally-sanctioned
risk — slot machines in Vegas, buying and selling securities,
bungee-jumping — and there is the other kind:
the risk that your counterparty in a business transaction might
turn out to be a smooth-talking crook.
Society has a right, in fact an obligation, to restrain the
activities of smooth-talking crooks, so far as it’s possible to do so.
There is a limit, however, to how much of this society can do
without shutting down entrepreneurial activity altogether.
The buccaneer element is not an undesirable by-product of
capitalism, to be utterly eliminated:
it is the very essence of the thing.
Capitalism consists of me making or buying something for X dollars,
then persuading you to buy it off me for X + Y dollars.
What’s a
fair number for Y? There
isn’t one, metaphysically speaking.
In a mature market, where I am one of many well-established
vendors, competition and familiarity will trim down the Y to a rough
equilibrium value. In a
fast-moving economy with lots of innovation, though, I may be among the
first to offer my product or service to the public.
Then the value of Y depends mainly on the perceived desirability of
whatever new thing I’m offering, and on my powers of persuasion — on
buccaneer chutzpah, basically. It is at this point that the smooth-talking crooks
congregate, along with a lot of perfectly honest entrepreneurs. Until the new product or service is familiar and its value
generally agreed upon, it’s going to take an expert to tell the crooks
from the honest vendors. There
may, in fact, be a period when even the experts (most of whom, after all,
are salarimen — or government employees, which means salarimen
squared) are behind the curve. That’s
when the crooks really cash in. The place of
government in all this is to keep the marketplace fair, as far as it’s
possible to do so. Alas, that
is not very far. My own years
of experience in the world of securities trading, which I’ll tell you
all about another time, suggest to me that the average securities trader
is much smarter and way better motivated than the average auditor,
and not always sleepless with concern for the folk at the bottom of
the securities food-chain. (Listen
to the professional catch-phrases of the trading desks.
“When the little guy gets in, it’s time to get out.”
“There are two kinds of equity:
insider equity and the other kind.”
Etc. etc.) Those years
also tell me that bodies like the SEC, charged with regulating this
most-regulated of all business sectors, can’t cope with the regulations
they currently have, so that if Congress were to dump another 2,000 pages
of regulations on the auditors’ desks, that would just be so much more
underbrush for the crooks to hide in. Not that
there isn’t anything that might be done to lengthen the odds against con
men. I think a few more
“Chinese walls” could be established without adding to the regulatory
burden. It seems crazy to me that someone on the fifth floor of a
securities firm can be offering investors advice on the value of
securities that someone down on the mezzanine was responsible for
underwriting or bringing to market. I
think it’s double crazy that a firm whose employees are writing code for
a company’s systems can be responsible for auditing those systems.
(I would have loved to be responsible for auditing my own
systems! How come nobody ever
asked me?) There are some
clean, simple things that might be done.
I’d also like to see suggestions for enforcing the Mr. Wu
principle: that if your business fails, you end up personally
broke. That doesn’t seem to
happen any more in the U.S. — not, at any rate, without the intervention
of law enforcement (and not much even then). What can’t
be done is the purging of all risk from capitalism. That would be a contradiction in terms. And as long as risk is there, it will follow simple
statistical rules, with lots of people taking lots of tiny hits all the
time, then once in a while some poor unlucky schmo taking a really big hit
— like meteor strikes on the surface of the moon.
That’s the game, that’s capitalism.
Love it or leave it; there
are regular flights to Cuba and North Korea.
Or, for that matter, to France and Germany, where the little guy is
so thoroughly well protected nowadays that economic activity has pretty
much ground to a halt, unemployment runs 9.5 and 8.1 per cent respectively
(U.S.A. figure: 5.5), the Economist start-up index is at -0.2 and
0.4 respectively (U.S.A.: 2.0),
and the last new product anyone brought to market was the daguerrotype. So what would
I say to former Enron employee Deborah Perrotta, blubbing away into her
hanky before the Senate Government Affairs Committee yesterday because
she’d lost $40,000 in her 401(K) plan?
(“Her Dreams End in Tears” — New York Post headline.)
Well, first I’d say: stop
making a spectacle of yourself in public, woman.
Show some good American backbone — there’s a war going on, and
the world, including our enemies, is watching.
There are plenty worse off than you, with less to blame themseves
for than you have. You
didn’t have to buy the frigging stock, did you?
It’s in the nature of dreams to end in tears; and it’s in the
nature of tears to stop and dry up after a while. So suck it
up, Deborah. This is life in
a free society; and those
grave well-fed persons on the dais in that committee room are not, on the
whole, friends of freedom. Don’t
go to them asking for any favors. Oh,
they’ll give you your favors all right, if they see any votes in it:
but what the cost of those favors will be to the rest of us, and to
our liberties, we won’t find out until it’s too late. Walk out of that committee room with your back straight and
your head held high. Go get
yourself a little street concession close to some big hotels, and see what
you can make of it. It’s a jungle out here. Most of us, however, prefer jungle to desert, and those are the only two economic alternatives the human race has yet been able to come up with. Caveat emptor. |
||||