Article by John Derbyshire |
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| April
Diary Devil’s
dictionary.
I was just reading a story about the BBC (that is, British
Broadcasting Corporation). They
are producing a $7m TV drama series about the “Cambridge spies” —
five young men recruited by Soviet intelligence during their undergraduate
days at Cambridge University in the 1930s.
This “Ring of Five,” as the Soviets referred to them, all went
on to high positions in the British political and intelligence
establishments during the 1940s and 1950s, and passed key information to
the USSR through the early Cold War years.
Well, apparently the BBC plans to present these vermin as heroic
idealists. Explained the head
of BBC drama: “Condemning
them as ‘traitors’ would be too simplistic.” Note
that word “simplistic.” This
is now a key word in the vocabulary of modern leftist nihilsm. When I can get round to it, I am going to produce a glossary,
like Ambrose Bierce’s Devil’s Dictionary, of these cant words
that mark the user as being an elite lefty nihilist.
The devil’s-dictionary definition of “simplistic” will be
something like: “Implying a
belief that good and evil differ from each other in some way.”
“Mean-spirited”
is another one I shall list, with a definition along the lines of:
“Nursing irreverent or disrespectful feelings towards some Designated
Victim Group (blacks, homosexuals, illegal immigrants, etc.) Failing to acknowledge the superior moral status of such a
group. See also:
hurtful, insensitive, -bashing,...” Actuarial
humor. After the posting in my
March Diary about actuaries, a reader who really is an
actuary sent me the following actuary joke, the first one that I have ever
heard. Who knew actuaries had a sense of humor? Q:
What’s the difference between an American actuary and a Sicilian
actuary? A:
The American actuary knows how many people will die in a given
year. The Sicilian actuary
knows their names. After
trying this out on some other readers, one of them came back with this
internet mine of actuarial humor. The
jokes aren’t terrific, but, as Dr. Johnson said in a different context,
actuarial humor “is like a dog’s walking on his hinder legs.
It is not well done, but you are surprised to find it done at
all.” Family
humor. Still on the March Diary, I wondered what other family
in-jokes people had, like the Derbs’ flea-market one.
Lots of responses on that, a surprising number concerning family
car trips. I think my
favorite was the reader whose father, when they pass a sign advertising
ANTIQUES, invariably says: “What’s everyone got against Ques?”
Think about it (I had to). What
color is your underwear?
One more from last month’s diary.
I boasted of having discovered the difference between men and
women. No fewer than three
different readers e-mailed in with the following.
“No, no, Derb, here is the difference between men and
women. Go into a room full of
people and call out: ‘Hands up those who know the color of their
underwear.’ Only the women
will raise their hands.” Now,
I don’t get this. I know
the color of my underwear. It’s
white. All men’s underwear
is white, isn’t it? Who
ever heard of men’s underwear in any other color?
I know I’m behind the curve sometimes and have trouble keeping
up. (Why do you think my
alternate-issue column in NRODT is titled “The Straggler”?)
Is this one of those cases? Is
there something I ought to know but don’t?
Proud
parent. I know, you’re sick of hearing about the darn book.
This was the month It finally appeared in finished form, though,
and I can’t resist doing the proud-parent thing just one more time.
Then I will shut up, I promise.
Well... I’ll try.
Because
of the mechanics of book production, Prime Obsession won’t
actually ship to your local bookstore until around May 9th.
(Amazon.com, by the way, has been showing “August” as the
publication date. This is wrong.)
Then the bookstore manager has to unpack boxes and rearrange
displays on his own highly individual schedule, so you may not actually
see Prime Obsession on the shelves till sometime in the week of May
12th. Remember my outstanding
offer to NR and NRO readers:
if you mail the book to me care of National Review (the
address is right there on the contents page of your
subscription copy, or even to my home address if you are
internet-fluent enough to find it (not that difficult nowadays), I’ll
inscribe it with the words of your choice and mail it back to you at my
own expense. You
will notice that two other books on the same topic have come out at about
the same time. Did the three
of us know about each other’s efforts?
You bet. Was there a
bit of a race? Yes there was. In fact my publisher originally signed me up with a
15-months-ahead delivery date for the manuscript. Then they found out about the other two books and
renegotiated my contract down to an 8-month delivery date, cutting me a
deal on the advance to make up for the rush.
Never a dull moment in the writing business.
(I
confess I haven’t read either of the other two books, for superstitious
reasons, and therefore cannot fairly comment on them.) Internet
dropouts. “Many Americans Still Aren't Going Online, Survey Finds.”
(Washington Post, 4/17/03.)
“Now that people can log on at work, at home, in coffee shops, in
airports and even in public parks, the Internet seems like a pervasive,
nearly seamless entity in most American lives. Most,
but certainly not all. Forty-two percent of Americans still don't use the
Internet and the majority of them do not believe they ever will, according
to a study released yesterday.” Why
do I find this so cheering? I
suppose because I am starting to hate the Internet.
Familiarity has bred contempt.
The intimacy of the thing has been destroyed by intruders —
pop-up ads, spam e-mail, and, I see (this is Sunday afternoon) lefty
hackers bringing down NRO. “Feature
fatigue” has eroded my sense of control — who can be bothered to learn
a new trick three or four times a year?
(The boy who shouted out “Madonna!” will please go and stand in
the corner.) I used to hang out all day at my tube, leaving it powered up
all the time. Now I switch
the wretched thing off firmly when I’ve done what I need to do, and go
play Chinese Checkers with the kids, or fiddle with DIY chores, or read a
book. I
need the Internet for my work. That
aside, I’d live happily without it.
The novelty and charm have worn off long since.
I feel about it the way I feel about my car: a great convenience, to be sure, but not lovable in any way,
demanding frequent injections of time and money I am reluctant to spend,
and liable to go wrong unpredictably in ways I can’t be bothered to
understand. I envy that
forty-two percent. Top of the Sumerian
pops. In mid-April I did a
column about the antiquities looted from the Iraqi National
museum, arguing that given the past, present and likely future state of
affairs in Iraq, these antiquities were, on the whole, better off looted
and dispersed to private collectors in civilized nations, who would
probably care for them better than the Iraqis would or could. In the course of this argument I had occasion to mention the
Sumerians and their peculiar language, which we know well enough to sing
songs in, but which has no known affiliations. Well, if you would like to
hear some songs sung in ancient Sumerian, permit me to introduce you to Dr.
Jukka Ammondt of the University of Jyväskylä, Finland. Dr. Ammondt spent much of the 1990s translating classic 1950s
rock songs into Latin and recording them.
Sample tracks: Nunc
distrahor (All Shook Up), Quate, crepa, rota (Shake, Rattle and
Roll), Non adamare no possum (Can’t Help Falling In Love). Then, reaching even further
back into the past for inspiration, Dr. Ammondt came out with his first CD
in Sumerian. In his own words
(cleaned up a bit — I am not competent to judge the good doctor’s
Sumerian, but his English needs work):
“On 5th July 2001, the first-ever album sung in Sumerian was
released at the 47th Recontre International Assyrologique, a
conference held at the University of Helsinki.
One of the best-known classic rock songs of all time, Carl Perkins'
‘Blue Suede Shoes’ will stir listeners' hearts when sung in the
world's oldest known language. On the CD you'll also find Unto Mononen's
‘Satumaa’ (Land of Dreams), known as the national tango of Finland.”
You cannot make this stuff
up. Fay ce que voudres.
The fuss over Senator Rick Santorum’s comments about sodomy laws
revealed once again, as if it needed revealing once again, that
some large part of the American people, including practically all the
elite media, have lost their ability to engage in sane discussions about
the public consequences of private sexuality.
In fact, they are determined to deny that there are, have ever
been, or could ever be any public consequences to private sexuality, or
that society, as instantiated in its legislatures, police forces, etc.,
has any right to regulate private sexual activity at all. Now
this denial is — I shall try to be nice about it — infantile.
Every society that has ever existed has regulated private
sexuality. A society that did
not do so would quickly degenerate into a Hobbesian nightmare, with
aggressive men prowling and fighting while women cower in fear and
submission. Our present
American society regulates private sexuality by promoting monogamous
heterosexual marriage and fortifying that institution with legal,
financial and testatory privileges. We
also regulate private sexuality in other ways, some of them (“sexual
harassment” laws, for example) urged upon us by the political Left —
the very people who are now in howling pursuit of Rick Santorum for his
“intolerance”! It
is easy to think of very large and disastrous social consequences that
have followed from private sexual activity.
There is, for example, the great explosion of illegitimacy that
followed the sexual revolution of the 1960s, and that has wreaked such
havoc on our society. There
is also the dreadful AIDS epidemic, spread in the USA mainly by private
sexual activity, which has killed tens of thousands of people.
There is of course a great deal more to be said on both these
topics, and room for plenty of opinions about the proper scope and
authority of the state in these things.
I am only pointing out that the proposition: “Society at large
has no legitimate interest in citizens’ private sexual activities” is
so obviously false as to be, well, infantile.
And yet, amazing to say, a lot of grown-up people seem to believe
it. Back
in the 18th century there was a clique of aristocratic English libertines
who styled themselve the Hellfire Club.
To “rid themselves of the day” (Dr. Johnson again, describing
the frivolities concocted by the idle rich to fill their time) they
conducted sex orgies, black masses and the like, in the seclusion of a
large country estate. Their
motto was Fay ce que voudres — “do what thou wilt.”
I sometimes think that when our civilization sinks into the sand at
last, this will be its epitaph. Human
Rights Campaign.
The Santorum business brought to the fore an outfit called “The
Human Rights Campaign.”
You would never know from its name that this is a homosexualist
lobbying organization. I have
no problem with HRC’s existence — homosexuals have as much right to
organize and lobby as the rest of us — but I do have a problem with that
name — viz., it’s dishonest.
The name of an organization ought to give some clue as to what the
organization is for. Why
don’t they call themselves “The Homosexual Rights Campaign,” or
“The Campaign for Tolerance of Alternative Sexuality,” or something
like that? If they want to be
a little more in-your-face, they could go for something with a defiant or
humorous twist: “The Sodomite Sodality,” perhaps.
Don’t they understand that this straining at bland respectability
just makes them look shifty? Readers,
I have decided to launch a movement for the legalization of dog meat as a
marketable foodstuff. My
movement will be named: “The
Campaign for Truth, Justice, Harmony and Peace.”
Everyone OK with that?
Bring
on the goulash.
The lead-in here is one of my favorite Solzhenitsyn quotes, from his
1970 Nobel lecture: “Nations
are the wealth of mankind, its collective personalities; the very least of
them wears its own special colours and bears within itself a special facet
of divine intention.” Case
in point: Hungary.
I am, as I have probably mentioned before, a mild Hungarophile,
mainly because I was exposed to the incomparable Hungarian cuisine at an
early age, my London college being within walking distance of two fine (in
fact finom, the Hungarian word for “delicious”) Hungarian
restaurants. It’s not just
the food, though. If you mix
much with Hungarians, or browse their literary productions,* you get a
strong impression of a very distinctive Hungarian way of looking at
things. All things — love, business, war, politics, history,
science... History,
especially. The old dame has
been horribly unkind to the Hungarians, right down to the 20th century.
(If you want to see a Hungarian’s jaw clench, just say the word
“Trianon.”)
That is one half of Hungarian particularism.
The other half is their language, a bizarre oddity whose only
relatives are some scattered tribal tongues in Siberia.**
The two things together have given the Hungarians a powerful sense
of their own identity and separateness, a proud, defiant patriotism, and a
rather bleak style of national humor. All
that is by way of recommending Paul Lendvai’s new book The
Hungarians: A Thousand Years of Victory in Defeat,
which gives a comprehensive portrait of this improbable nation.
The book’s subtitle was (I’m guessing) inspired by the
following quote from Hungarian writer Géza Ottlik, which Lendvai includes
at the end of Chapter 8. The
battle of Mohács (August 29, 1526) was followed by the loss of much
Hungarian territory to the Ottoman Turks. “The
400th anniversary of the battle of Mohács was approaching.
It seems a remarkable thing to celebrate a defeat, yet the mighty
Ottoman Empire, which could have celebrated its victory, no longer exists.
All traces of the Mongols have also vanished, as indeed — almost
in front of our very eyes — have those of the tenacious Habsburg Empire.
We have therefore got used to celebrating on our own our great lost
battles which we survived. Perhaps we also got used to regarding defeat as something
exciting, made of more solid material, and more important than victory —
at any rate we regard it as our true possession.” Income
taxes. Grrr, fume, spit. Well,
nobody likes paying income taxes. What
staggers me, though, is the complexity of the whole business.
My life is about as simple as a life can be in post-industrial
society. I write stuff for
which people send me checks. My
wife works part-time as a sales assistant in a jewelry store.
We keep cash in a bank, that posts interest to our account once in
a while. We have a sheaf of
mutual funds, that occasionally post small gains or losses, and a life
insurance policy, and something called a SEP, which I don’t understand
but which my accountant said is a really neat thing for a chap in my
circumstances to have. We buy
stuff for ourselves and do home improvements.
That’s about it. We
don’t even have a mortgage. We
are little people with not much money.
Our “total income” in 2002 was apparently (I am reading it off
line 22 of IRS form 1040) $37,323. And
yet, just look at the stuff we have to file!
As well as the 1040, there are Schedules A, B, C, D, and SE, Form
1116, Form 8812, Form 8829, and supporting statements — a total of 15
pages altogether. And
that’s just my Federal return... It
is easy to imagine a quite ordinary middle-class person filing a hundred
pages or more. I have a
degree in math, and I don’t understand this stuff.
How do non-mathematical people cope?
I suppose by doing the same thing we do — paying a licensed
expert to figure it all out. Our
man got us a rebate of $4,727, though he charged us $1,056.25 for his
trouble. (That includes a 25 percent surcharge for audit insurance.) What
a waste of human intelligence and effort!
Billions of man-hours, billions of dollars — for what?
To keep the country going, of course; to fight its wars, guard its
coasts, pave its interstate highways, and so on.
Yet all that could be accomplished with much simpler systems.
Several have been proposed in detail.
The one I personally like best is the national sales tax, but there
are simple income tax systems worked out, too.
None of them has a hope in hell of being adopted, of course. The lefty elites would raise a fuss about “fairness.”
Fairness,
schmairness: what about privacy?
Funny:
these same people who are tearing Rick Santorum limb from limb
because he thinks the government might, under some circumstances, have the
right to invade my sexual privacy, have no problem with that same
government demanding to know about the new cesspool I installed last fall
(“Statement 2 — Business Use of Home — Depreciation”).
Around
mid-April each year I find myself thinking that I wouldn’t much mind
having Suffolk County police officers break down my bedroom door now and
then to make sure that I conduct my sex life from the approved firing
position, if only the bureaucrats in Washington and Albany would get their
noses out of my financial affairs. Possibly
this is a middle-aged point of view.
The
rest is silence.
I don’t have a math problem for you this month, but you won’t
get away math-free. There is
a mathematical theme in what follows. First, however, let me tell you what the guy in the store was
buying last month: Numbers
for the front door of his house. Readers
who said he was buying beer in six-packs, please e-mail me at once to let
me know where I can get six cans of beer for a dollar fifty. Now,
then. I did a
column a few days ago about a Doonesbury comic strip that
insulted George W. Bush. That
quickly got picked up by readers interested in the Creationist vs
Evolution controversy, even though that was not the main point of my
column. Several hundred
readers e-mailed me with opinions on Creationism, or Evolution, or both
— trying, without much success, to get me interested in the fine details
of the issue. As
always when you get a lot of responses to some topic, the Creationist
e-mails (they were, by the way, almost uniformly courteous and thoughtful
— which reinforces the point I was making in my article) could be
gathered under four or five headings.
I posted blanket responses to some of those headings in The Corner,
but here is one more. Lots
of people wanted to tell me that the sort of super-complex molecules found
in living things could not possibly have arisen by random chance in a
universe a mere 13.7 billion years old, as the probabilities concerned are
so immense — 10 to the power of 40,000, according to one reader. There
are several things wrong with this line of reasoning. In the first place, it is based ultimately on a common
statistical fallacy — one so common that it has a name:
“the fallacy of numerators without denominators.”
(The numerator is the top number in a fraction; the denominator is
the bottom one.) Consider,
for example, the New York State lottery.
I believe the probability of any one ticket winning the lottery is
around one in twelve million. And
yet, most weeks, someone wins it. How?
The answer, of course, is that twelve million is merely the
numerator here. The
denominator is the several million people who buy lottery tickets every
week. Divide the numerator by the denominator, and you have a
reasonable-sized number: 1,
or 30, or 0.5, or something similar. The
probability of any particular thing happening is microscopically
small. The probability that I
flicked my eyes away from the screen to glance out of my study window just
then, rather than a millisecond sooner or a millisecond later, is very
tiny. However, in a busy
universe, something must happen.
In fact, untold trillions of things are happening all the time —
that's the denominator. The
physical universe is a far, far bigger assemblage than the population of
New York State (it may in fact, for all we can prove to the contrary, be
infinite!) so that extremely, extremely, extremely unlikely things
are happening all the time. A
second problem arises from the term "random chance."
In fact, even the most materialist of scientists does not believe
that the universe is governed by random chance.
There are organizing principles everywhere:
subatomic particles organize themselves into atoms and molecules,
interstellar gas organizes itself into stars and planets, and so on.
Science consists of the search to understand how these organizing
principles do their work. Why
they are present is a very interesting question, but outside the scope
of science. However, no
thoughtful scientist, not even the most materialist atheist, thinks that
the universe is the result of purely random processes.
A
third problem is the one raised by the so-called "anthropic
principle." However
improbable you may think it was that human intelligence arose from
inanimate matter, if it hadn't happened, we wouldn't be here to discuss
it! Possibly the
Big Bang happened
10 to the power of 40,000 times before we showed up.
Now that we have shown up, we can sit around and discuss the
whole business. The other (10
to the power of 40,000, minus 1) occurrences of the universe were — as
an atheist friend of mine likes to say about the Afterlife — very quiet.
————————————————— ** There is a much remoter connection with Finnish, but it is visible only in a scattering of archaic words concerned with fishing and hunting, and in some points of grammar. Quote from a Hungarian friend: “Yes, Hungarian and Finnish are related. As are English and Farsi.” Which is true. |
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